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UPCAT Math Review · Statistics

Weighted Mean

When some scores count for more, the ordinary average is the wrong tool.

The problem

Quizzes 85 (30%), exams 78 (50%), project 92 (20%). What is the final grade?

The plain average is not the answer.

plain average

(85 + 78 + 92) ÷ 3 = 85

treats all three equally

weighted

to be found

exams count for half

The exam score is the lowest and carries the most weight, so expect the real grade to come out below 85.

A plain average is just a weighted mean where every weight happens to be equal. It is the special case, not the general rule.

Multiply each score by its weight.

ComponentScoreWeightScore × weight
quizzes850.3025.5
exams780.5039.0
project920.2018.4
total—1.0082.9

final grade = 82.9

Because the weights already add to 1, the column total is the answer — no dividing needed.

When the weights do not add to 1.

Divide by the total weight instead.

weighted mean = Σ (value × weight) Σ weight

3 units at 90, 5 units at 82

weights are unit counts

(270 + 410) ÷ 8

total ÷ total weight

= 680 ÷ 8 = 85

the GWA

Weights do not have to be percentages. Units, credits, number of students — any measure of “how much this one counts” works the same way.

The classic exam trap: two groups.

Class A: 30 students averaging 80. Class B: 20 students averaging 90.

tempting

(80 + 90) ÷ 2 = 85

wrong

correct

(2400 + 1800) ÷ 50

= 84

class A total = 30 × 80 = 2400

all their marks added

class B total = 20 × 90 = 1800

same again

(2400 + 1800) ÷ 50 = 84

50 students in all

Averages of averages

You may never average two averages unless the groups are the same size. The bigger class pulls harder, and 85 is printed as a choice precisely to catch that.

Working backwards for a target.

“What do I need on the final to pass?” is the same formula rearranged.

quizzes 88 at 40%, final at 60%

target: 85 overall

0.4(88) + 0.6x = 85

set up

35.2 + 0.6x = 85

work the known part

x = 49.8 ÷ 0.6 = 83

the mark needed

If the answer comes out above 100, the target is unreachable — which is itself a legitimate answer to that kind of question.

Backwards: one group’s mean from the combined mean.

class total: 50 × 80 = 4000

boys’ total: 30 × 76 = 2280

girls’ total: 4000 − 2280 = 1720

girls’ mean: 1720 ÷ 20 = 86

20 girls

Mirroring the gap

The boys are 4 below 80, but the girls are not 4 above it: the groups are different sizes. 84 would be right only for equal groups.

The ratio of the groups from the combined mean.

50a + 90b = 66(a + b)

the totals add up

24b = 16a

collect the terms

a : b = 24 : 16 = 3 : 2

Shortcut: 66 is 16 above 50 and 24 below 90; the sizes are in the reverse ratio of those distances, 24 : 16. Check: 3 people at 50 and 2 at 90 give (150 + 180) ÷ 5 = 66 ✓.

The ratio upside down

The combined mean sits nearer the bigger group. 66 is closer to 50, so A is the larger group — 2 : 3 points the wrong way.

On the exam

Expect two groups combined, a grade built from weighted parts, a missing group mean, or the final-exam score needed for a target. Always work with totals (count × mean, or weight × score) and never average the averages. Ten-second check: the combined mean lies between the group means, closer to the bigger group.

Check: is it pulled the right way?

range of scores 78 to 92 82.9 sits inside ✓
heaviest weight exams, 78, at 50% pulls the mean down ✓
versus plain average 82.9 < 85 as predicted ✓

Remember the flow

Value × weight · Add · Divide by the total weight

Never average two averages.
Now you try

Practice problem

The problem

Class standing 90 (40%), midterm 75 (25%), finals 80 (35%). Find the final grade.